UPDATE | 24 April 2018 Subsequent to my previous post analysing a recent encounter between Australian and Chinese forces in the South China Sea – during which Australian warships’ freedom of navigation was challenged by PLAN representatives – China’s Ministry of National Defense has released a statement outlining its official position regarding its encounter with the Australian warships HMAS Anzac, HMAS Toowoomba and HMAS Success. … Continue reading Update: China’s Ministry of National Defense issues statement regarding SCS challenge of Australian warships
By Andrew Reynolds | 18 April 2018 Recent US-led airstrikes in Syria raise more questions than they answer. Ostensibly justified on humanitarian grounds, an initial analysis indicates these airstrikes were geared more for symbolic than strategic effect. Several indicators warrant this conclusion. Firstly, the strikes were preceded by a questionable tactical error: namely, the signalling via Twitter of a likely US intent to strike by … Continue reading Syria Airstrikes Geared For Symbolic More Than Strategic Effect
This post first appeared in The Huffington Post, 15 July 2016. Regional tensions have escalated sharply in response to this week’s finding in the arbitral tribunal hearing in The Hague, which has found in favour of the Philippines in their case against China’s claims in the South China Sea. In their strongly worded 11 page press release, the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) presented a … Continue reading What the South China Sea Ruling Means for Australia
By Andrew Reynolds, 5 December 2014. Despite Chinese President Xi Jinping’s insistence on China’s “peaceful rise“, China’s ongoing program of island reclamations and infrastructure development in the Spratly Islands threatens regional stability. Regional states remain concerned about China’s long-term strategy for the South China Sea (SCS). A recent IHS Jane’s article detailed China’s recent land-reclamation project on Fiery Cross Reef, in the Spratly Islands. According to the Jane’s report, China … Continue reading South China Sea: Fiery Cross Reef a Signpost to Chinese Security Policy
By Adrian Calderaro, 4 December 2014. China’s new J-31 took to the skies for its first ever public appearance at the Zhuhai airshow in late November, however of more interest is the plastic scale model that was featured inside the air-show exposition. The less than envelope-pushing aerial display of the prototype J-31 did not reveal anything that was not already known about the aircraft. Its design appears … Continue reading China’s J-31 Multi-role Fighter: Export Cinderella or White Elephant?
By Andrew Reynolds, 19 July 2014 While much still remains disturbingly unclear about the current situation in eastern Ukraine, some things seem perfectly clear. Clearly this situation is now out of control. Ukraine has lost control of its territory. Russia has lost control of the separatists, and the separatist rebels themselves are a rabble. Shooting down a civilian airliner in legal airspace ten kilometres above the … Continue reading MH-17 Responses
Malcolm Fraser, Dangerous Allies, (Carlton, Melbourne University Press, 2014). By Andrew Reynolds, 30 June 2014 Malcolm Fraser is no casual observer of the Australian political system. As a former Australian Prime Minister, Minister for the Army and Minister for Defence amongst other postings, Fraser has been intimately involved in Australian political life for over six decades. In Dangerous Allies Fraser, together with ANU PhD candidate Cain Roberts, brings this to experience to bear … Continue reading Dangerous Allies