This post has been written as a more lengthy response to a LinkedIn thread which can be found here. It is clear that over the past several decades, regional and littoral SCS states have tried various economic and political models to best manage their bilateral relations with Beijing, and in some instances, attempt to contain China’s rise. A brief survey of the literature highlights some … Continue reading Defending the Rules-Based-Order: How far is Australia prepared to go?
UPDATE | 24 April 2018 Subsequent to my previous post analysing a recent encounter between Australian and Chinese forces in the South China Sea – during which Australian warships’ freedom of navigation was challenged by PLAN representatives – China’s Ministry of National Defense has released a statement outlining its official position regarding its encounter with the Australian warships HMAS Anzac, HMAS Toowoomba and HMAS Success. … Continue reading Update: China’s Ministry of National Defense issues statement regarding SCS challenge of Australian warships
By Andrew Reynolds | 22 April 2018 According to reports this week, three Australian warships – ANZAC class frigates HMAS Toowoomba, HMAS Anzac and Durance class replenishment oiler HMAS Success – had their freedom of passage through the South China Sea challenged by warships from China’s PLA Navy sometime in the past month. In this latest incident, the Australian ships were en route from The Philippines’ Subic Bay and Malaysia’s … Continue reading Australian Warships Challenged by China in South China Sea: Why are we Being Told?
By Andrew Reynolds | 18 April 2018 Recent US-led airstrikes in Syria raise more questions than they answer. Ostensibly justified on humanitarian grounds, an initial analysis indicates these airstrikes were geared more for symbolic than strategic effect. Several indicators warrant this conclusion. Firstly, the strikes were preceded by a questionable tactical error: namely, the signalling via Twitter of a likely US intent to strike by … Continue reading Syria Airstrikes Geared For Symbolic More Than Strategic Effect
This post first appeared in The Huffington Post, 15 July 2016. Regional tensions have escalated sharply in response to this week’s finding in the arbitral tribunal hearing in The Hague, which has found in favour of the Philippines in their case against China’s claims in the South China Sea. In their strongly worded 11 page press release, the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) presented a … Continue reading What the South China Sea Ruling Means for Australia
More United States Airpower In Australia No Bombshell Given China Crisis By Andrew Reynolds This post was first published in the Huffington Post, 10 July 2016. Recent reports from Canberra indicate that the United States proposes to rotate long-range strategic bombers through Darwin. This should come as no surprise to security watchers. Australia has a history of working with foreign air forces in joint training … Continue reading More US Airpower In Australia Is No Bombshell Given China Crisis
By Andrew Reynolds, 5 December 2014. Despite Chinese President Xi Jinping’s insistence on China’s “peaceful rise“, China’s ongoing program of island reclamations and infrastructure development in the Spratly Islands threatens regional stability. Regional states remain concerned about China’s long-term strategy for the South China Sea (SCS). A recent IHS Jane’s article detailed China’s recent land-reclamation project on Fiery Cross Reef, in the Spratly Islands. According to the Jane’s report, China … Continue reading South China Sea: Fiery Cross Reef a Signpost to Chinese Security Policy